“Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. ”
Niels Bohr –Physics Nobel Prize 1922
January 6 2017 — Bernard Bajolet (born 21 May 1949) is a French diplomat. On 10 April 2013, Bernard Bajolet was appointed by the Council of Ministers as Director General for External Security (DGSE). Follow us on Twitter: @Intel_Today
On 15 December 2016, Bernard Bajolet gave the closing speech of the Seventh Strategic Research National Conference at the French Military Academy.
The title of his speech was: “Thinking about Future Conflicts.”
Bajolet stated that the DGSE has improved the quality and quantity of its Intelligence collecting.
But he admitted that his Agency has failed in predicting most recent and current issues such as the Arab Spring, the Georgian and Ukrainian crisis and the rise of the Islamic State.
Bajolet stated that better tools are needed to anticipate future crisis.
Bajolet argues that Intelligence Agencies should collaborate with Universities, ‘Think Tanks’ and the Strategic Research Centre on this project.
After a short pause, Bajolet added:
“But I will tell you a secret. The DGSE produced a note dated December 2015.
The title of the note is:
US Presidential Election : Victory of Mr Trump. What are the consequences? “
Not only, the DGSE had considered and anticipated Trump’s victory but the Agency also invited French officials to think about it and to prepare themselves for such eventuality.
Two Years Ago — Bernard Bajolet : DGSE Warned French Government of Trump Victory in December 2015!